The Central Intelligence Company informed Ukrainian officers final summer time that it had realized of what it thought was an aborted plot by the Ukrainians to assault the Nord Stream pipelines, and the company bolstered its objection to any such operation, U.S. officers mentioned.
In June 2022, Dutch intelligence officers shared data with the C.I.A. that that they had realized the Ukrainian navy had been planning an operation utilizing divers to explode one of many pipelines, in keeping with U.S. and European officers. However the authentic tip by the Dutch, in keeping with U.S. officers, was that Ukraine had already reconsidered and canceled the operation.
In actuality, American officers now imagine, the operation was not aborted however delayed, doubtlessly with a distinct Ukraine-aligned group finishing up the assault.
Explosions destroyed elements of the pipelines, which carry pure gasoline from Russia to Europe, in September. The Ukrainian authorities has repeatedly denied duty for the assault.
However German investigators later realized {that a} group of Ukrainians had rented a ship, loaded it with explosives and attacked the pipeline. American intelligence businesses now imagine the operation was carried out at the least with the free course of the Ukrainian authorities, however they have no idea who precisely deliberate the operation.
The details about the C.I.A. warning to Ukraine, and that it was Dutch intelligence officers who offered the unique intelligence, was earlier reported by the German information outlet Die Zeit and NOS, the Dutch nationwide broadcaster.
It’s unclear which U.S. official delivered the message concerning the pipeline assault to Ukraine. It was not delivered by senior stage officers, nevertheless, as a result of the USA already believed that Kyiv had reconsidered the knowledge of the assault, in keeping with the American officers. It was additionally not clear how the Ukrainians responded to the Individuals’ message.
The unique warning collected by Dutch intelligence included particulars much like the ultimate operation, but it surely additionally differed in some key respects, in keeping with the European official. The unique intelligence mentioned Ukraine meant to assault Nord Stream 1, whereas the precise assault was in opposition to each the older pipelines and the just-completed set, often called Nord Stream 2.
Dutch intelligence additionally reported that the plan would contain utilizing pretend Estonian passports, the European official mentioned. No less than some members of the group that European investigators imagine carried out the assault used pretend Bulgarian passports.
The unique plan additionally concerned utilizing Ukrainian particular forces personnel to lease a submersible and a ship to assault the pipelines, close to a spot widespread with divers, the European official mentioned.
The C.I.A. was not in a position to corroborate the knowledge the Dutch offered them final summer time however nonetheless warned the German authorities that the pipelines may very well be attacked after which mentioned the matter with Ukrainian officers.
The U.S. authorities has declined to touch upon the Nord Stream assault, and American officers have declined to touch upon reviews of Ukrainian involvement within the assaults. They are saying they’re ready for the outcomes of the German investigation and different European inquiries.
Some officers have fearful that Ukrainian involvement would weaken assist for the conflict amongst Germans, who’ve swallowed excessive vitality costs throughout the battle. Whereas it’s nonetheless doable that additional revelations may shift public opinion in Germany, for now Berlin has continued to extend its navy support to Kyiv and had offered lots of the tanks getting used within the ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive.