The US Treasury constructing throughout a renovation in Washington, DC, US, on Tuesday, Aug. 15, 2023.
Nathan Howard | Bloomberg | Getty Photographs
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What you have to know immediately
Samsung’s anticipating income to plunge 78%
Samsung Electronics expects working revenue to come back in at 2.4 trillion Korean gained ($1.79 billion) for the third quarter. That is a staggering plunge of 78% yr over yr, dragged down by the agency’s semiconductor enterprise. Nonetheless, that is greater than triple the 670 billion gained in working revenue the corporate earned final quarter — and barely greater than analyst expectations. Shares jumped 3%.
China’s customers are nonetheless cautious
Retail gross sales in China for the Sept. 29 to Oct. 5 vacation interval rose by 9% from a yr in the past, based on state studies. Whereas that is a sooner fee of development in contrast with August, retail gross sales grew lower than 3% a yr because the begin of the pandemic, based on estimates from UBS. In different phrases, there is a restoration in consumption — nevertheless it’s a gradual one.
Alameda allegedly took FTX cash
Caroline Ellison, the previous head of Alameda Analysis and ex-girlfriend of FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, took the stand as the federal government’s star witness Tuesday. Ellison testified she and her ex-boss dedicated fraud. Alameda “took round $14 billion” from FTX clients, Ellison mentioned. “I despatched steadiness sheets to lenders on the route of Sam that incorrectly acknowledged Alameda’s belongings and liabilities.”
[PRO] Security in dividend shares
Buyers anxious about latest volatility in markets — surging oil costs, spiking Treasury yields and the Israel-Hamas warfare — can flip to protected shares with excessive dividends, mentioned analysts. After screening for such shares, CNBC Professional discovered 10 with dividend yield above 4% and a debt-to-capital ratio of lower than 80%, amongst different standards.
The underside line
In occasions of threat, buyers flip to protected belongings. And there is no asset perceived as safer — whereas remaining liquid — than a U.S. Treasury bond.
Yields for U.S. Treasurys fell Tuesday as buyers swarmed for security amid the Israel-Hamas warfare. The ten-year Treasury yield dropped round 13 foundation factors to 4.649%, whereas the 2-year yield settled simply above the 5% degree throughout Asia buying and selling hours. As yields transfer inversely with costs, meaning bond costs went up, pushed up by demand.
Falling yields offered some aid to shares. The S&P 500 rose 0.52%, the Dow Jones Industrial Common picked up 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite superior 0.58%.
One other shiny spot was the small-caps Russell 2000, which climbed 1.14% for its fifth consecutive profitable day, the primary time it is achieved so since July 13. That offers the index a 0.83% achieve yr so far — fairly exceptional should you bear in mind it sank into the purple for the yr simply over per week in the past.
(Readers will discover this implies each shares and bonds moved in tandem — however their sometimes inverse relationship has been severed ever because the pandemic.)
“I feel that transfer decrease in yields has supported fairness markets broadly. It could even be bringing aid to markets that maybe there may be some form of peak on this quickly upward shifting yield in the previous few weeks,” mentioned Mona Mahajan, Edward Jones senior funding strategist.
Nonetheless, the Financial institution of England issued a uncommon warning on the valuation of U.S. expertise shares. “Given the affect of upper rates of interest, and uncertainties related to inflation and development, some dangerous asset valuations look like stretched,” the U.Ok. central financial institution’s monetary coverage committee mentioned Tuesday. And the excessive value premiums are “pushed primarily by the continued energy within the U.S. tech sector,” the report added.
With September’s producer value index popping out later immediately, and the buyer value index Thursday, buyers can higher decide how a lot threat is value taking — or if a safer asset just like the U.S. Treasury bond makes extra sense amid doubtlessly greater charges and geopolitical upheaval.