“Ukraine can nonetheless lose the struggle — however Russia cannot win,” Ian Bremmer informed CNBC’s Hadley Gamble on the Munich
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Ukraine can lose the struggle, however Russia can’t win at a geopolitical stage, Ian Bremmer, political scientist and president of Eurasia Group, informed CNBC.
“Ukraine can lose this struggle,” Bremmer informed CNBC’s Hadley Gamble on the Munich Safety Convention on Friday, however Russia can’t win in NATO due to its “pariah” standing, Bremmer mentioned.
“[Russia] will nonetheless be lower off, NATO will nonetheless increase and for Putin, feeling humiliated, insecure and in a vastly worse geostrategic place than he was earlier than he invaded, what’s he going to do because the world’s strongest rogue state? That is a long-term query that goes past Ukraine,” Bremmer added.
Bremmer mentioned that the NATO help for Ukraine had been “extraordinary” and “effectively past what anybody thought doable,” with Germany decreasing its dependency on Russian power provides and the U.S. taking the lead in sending army provides to Ukraine. However he questioned whether or not this help would proceed.
“Will it’s true in 2024, with upcoming presidential elections?” he requested. “We do not know what is going on to occur there.”
It stays to be seen whether or not Ukraine will proceed to have the “consideration and cohesion” it has gained from the West within the first yr following Russia’s invasion, Bremmer famous.
“The reply is Ukraine can lose. Everybody right here wants to grasp that Ukraine can lose this struggle,” Bremmer mentioned.
To this point, the U.Ok., U.S. and Germany are among the many nations which have agreed to equip Ukraine with tanks, however they’ve but to fulfil Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s most up-to-date request for fighter jets.
“[The war] is an existential disaster for Ukraine, it is an existential disaster for Zelenskyy and his household personally – they’re combating actually for his or her lives,” Bremmer mentioned.
